Citation

Discussion Paper Details

Please find the details for DP10530 in an easy to copy and paste format below:

Full Details   |   Bibliographic Reference

Full Details

Title: Weather shocks and English wheat yields, 1690-1871

Author(s): Liam Brunt

Publication Date: April 2015

Keyword(s): agriculture, productivity and weather

Programme Area(s): Economic History

Abstract: We estimate a time series model of weather shocks on English wheat yields for the early nineteenth century and use it to predict weather effects on yield levels from 1697 to 1871. This reveals that yields in the 1690s were depressed by unusually poor weather; and those in the late 1850s were inflated by unusually good weather. This has led researchers to overestimate the underlying growth of yields over the period by perhaps 50 per cent. Correcting for this effect would largely reconcile the conflicting primal and dual estimates of productivity growth over the period.

For full details and related downloads, please visit: https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=10530

Bibliographic Reference

Brunt, L. 2015. 'Weather shocks and English wheat yields, 1690-1871'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=10530