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Title: Identifying the Discount Factor in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

Author(s): Jaap H Abbring and Øystein Daljord

Publication Date: February 2016

Keyword(s): discount factor, dynamic discrete choice, empirical content and identification

Programme Area(s): Industrial Organization

Abstract: The identification of the discount factor in dynamic discrete models is important for counterfactual analysis, but hard. Existing approaches either take the discount factor to be known or rely on high level exclusion restrictions that are difficult to interpret and hard to satisfy in applications, in particular in industrial organization. We provide identification results under an exclusion restriction on primitive utility that is more directly useful to applied researchers. We also show that our and existing exclusion restrictions limit the choice and state transition probability data in different ways; that is, they give the model nontrivial and distinct empirical content.

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Bibliographic Reference

Abbring, J and Daljord, Ø. 2016. 'Identifying the Discount Factor in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=11133