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Title: Religiosity and Terrorism: Evidence from Ramadan Fasting

Author(s): Roland Hodler, Paul A. Raschky and Anthony Strittmatter

Publication Date: October 2018

Keyword(s): economics of religion and Terrorism

Programme Area(s): Development Economics and International Trade and Regional Economics

Abstract: This study examines the effect of religiosity on terrorism by focusing on one of the five pillars of Islam: Ramadan fasting. For identification, we exploit two facts: First, daily fasting from dawn to sunset during Ramadan is considered mandatory for most Muslims. Second, the Islamic calendar is not synchronized with the solar cycle. We find a robust negative effect of more intense Ramadan fasting on terrorist events within districts and country-years in predominantly Muslim countries. We argue that this effect partly operates through a decrease in public support for terrorism, which in turn reduces the operational capabilities of terrorist groups.

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Bibliographic Reference

Hodler, R, Raschky, P and Strittmatter, A. 2018. 'Religiosity and Terrorism: Evidence from Ramadan Fasting'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=13257