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Discussion Paper Details

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Title: Risky moms, risky kids? Fertility and crime after the fall of the wall

Author(s): Arnaud Chevalier and Olivier Marie

Publication Date: December 2019

Keyword(s): crime, economic uncertainty, Fertility, parental selection and risk attitude

Programme Area(s): Labour Economics

Abstract: We study the link between parental selection and child criminality. Following the collapse of the communist regime in 1989, the number of births halved in East Germany. These cohorts became markedly more likely to be arrested as they grew up in reunified Germany. This is observed for both genders and all offence types. We highlight risk attitude as an important reason why certain women did not alter their fertility decisions during this time of economic uncertainty. We also show that this preference for risk was then strongly transmitted to their children which may in turn explain their high criminal propensity.

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Bibliographic Reference

Chevalier, A and Marie, O. 2019. 'Risky moms, risky kids? Fertility and crime after the fall of the wall'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=14251