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Discussion Paper Details

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Title: Temperature, Disease, and Death in London: Analyzing Weekly Data for the Century from 1866-1965

Author(s): William Walker Hanlon, Casper Worm Hansen and Jake Kantor

Publication Date: June 2020

Keyword(s):

Programme Area(s): Economic History

Abstract: Using weekly mortality data for London spanning 1866-1965, we analyze the changing relationship between temperature and mortality as the city developed. Our results show that both warm and cold weeks were associated with elevated mortality in the late 19th-century, but heat effects, due mainly to infant deaths from digestive diseases, largely disappeared after WWI. The resulting change in the temperature-mortality relationship meant that thousands of heat-related deathsâ??equal to 0.8-1.3 percent of all deathsâ??were averted. Our findings also indicate that a series of hot years in the 1890s substantially changed the timing of the infant mortality decline in London.

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Bibliographic Reference

Hanlon, W, Hansen, C and Kantor, J. 2020. 'Temperature, Disease, and Death in London: Analyzing Weekly Data for the Century from 1866-1965'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=14851