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Title: The Heterogeneous Effects of Trade across Occupations: A Test of the Stolper-Samuelson Theorem

Author(s): Sergi Basco, Maxime Liegey, Mart� Mestieri and Gabriel Smagghue

Publication Date: August 2020

Keyword(s): inequality and Stolper-Samuelson

Programme Area(s): International Trade and Regional Economics and Macroeconomics and Growth

Abstract: This paper develops and implements a novel test of the Stolper-Samuelson theorem. We use nationally-representative matched employer-employee panel data from 1997 through 2015 to study the effect of the rise in China's exports on French worker earnings. Our version of the Stolper-Samuelson theorem states that there is a negative correlation between occupation exposure to Chinese competition and change in worker earnings. First, we document substantial heterogeneity in trade adjustment across occupations. Then, consistent with the Stolper-Samuelson prediction, we show that workers initially employed in occupations more intensively used in hard-hit industries experience larger declines in earnings. We also show that workers tend to move out of hard-hit industries, but they tend to remain in their initial occupation

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Bibliographic Reference

Basco, S, Liegey, M, Mestieri, M and Smagghue, G. 2020. 'The Heterogeneous Effects of Trade across Occupations: A Test of the Stolper-Samuelson Theorem'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=15186