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Title: Monetary Policy and the Fisher Effect

Author(s): Paul Söderlind

Publication Date: March 1997

Keyword(s): Fisher Effect, Inflation Expectations, Interest Rates, Kalman Filter Estimation and Monetary Policy

Programme Area(s): International Macroeconomics

Abstract: Historical estimates of the Fisher effect and the informational content in the yield curve may not be relevant after a change in monetary policy. This paper uses a small dynamic rational expectations model with staggered price setting to study how central bank preferences (and thereby monetary policy) affect the relation between nominal interest rates, inflation expectations, and real interest rates. The benchmark parameters, including the Federal Reserve Bank?s loss function parameters, are estimated by maximum likelihood on quarterly US data. The policy experiments include stronger inflation targeting, more active monetary policy, and a change in commitment technology.

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Bibliographic Reference

Söderlind, P. 1997. 'Monetary Policy and the Fisher Effect'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=1610