Citation
Discussion Paper Details
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Full Details
Title: Joining the Euro - the Macro Effects on the UK Economy
Author(s): David Meenagh, Patrick Minford and Bruce Webb
Publication Date: October 2002
Keyword(s): business cycle, euro, exchange rate instability, floating, single currency and transmission mechanisms
Programme Area(s): International Macroeconomics
Abstract: Stochastic simulations are used on the Liverpool Model of the UK to assess the effect of macroeconomic stability of the UK adopting the Euro. Instability increases substantially, particularly for inflation and real interest rates. A key factor is the extent of the Euro's instability against the dollar; by adopting a regional currency the UK imports this source of shocks, as well as losing its control of interest rates. The results are not highly sensitive to changes in assumptions about the degree of labour market flexibility, the use of fiscal policy, and increased convergence of monetary transmission.
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Bibliographic Reference
Meenagh, D, Minford, P and Webb, B. 2002. 'Joining the Euro - the Macro Effects on the UK Economy'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=3602