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Discussion Paper Details
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Title: Money Illusion and Housing Frenzies
Author(s): Markus K Brunnermeier and Christian Julliard
Publication Date: March 2007
Keyword(s): behavioural finance, housing, inflation illusion, interest rate, money illusion, mortgages and real estate
Programme Area(s): Financial Economics and International Macroeconomics
Abstract: A reduction in inflation can fuel run-ups in housing prices if people suffer from money illusion. For example, investors who decide whether to rent or buy a house by simply comparing monthly rent and mortgage payments do not take into account that inflation lowers future real mortgage costs. We decompose the price-rent ratio in a rational component ? meant to capture the proxy effect and risk premia ? and an implied mispricing. We find that inflation and nominal interest rates explain a large share of the time-series variation of the mispricing, and that the tilt effect is very unlikely to rationalize this finding.
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Bibliographic Reference
Brunnermeier, M and Julliard, C. 2007. 'Money Illusion and Housing Frenzies'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=6183