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Discussion Paper Details

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Title: Growth, History, or Institutions? What Explains State Fragility in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author(s): Graziella Bertocchi and Andrea Guerzoni

Publication Date: March 2010

Keyword(s): Africa, colonial history, institutions and State fragility

Programme Area(s): International Macroeconomics and Public Economics

Abstract: We explore the determinants of state fragility in sub-Saharan Africa. Controlling for a wide range of economic, demographic, geographic and institutional regressors, we find that institutions, and in particular the civil liberties index and the number of revolutions, are the main determinants of fragility, even taking into account their potential endogeneity. Economic factors such as income growth and investment display a non robust impact after controlling for omitted variables and reverse causality. Colonial variables reflecting the history of the region display a marginal impact on fragility once institutions are accounted for.

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Bibliographic Reference

Bertocchi, G and Guerzoni, A. 2010. 'Growth, History, or Institutions? What Explains State Fragility in Sub-Saharan Africa'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=7745