Discussion Paper Details

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Title: Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle

Author(s): Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers

Publication Date: April 2011

Keyword(s): banks, big business, confidence, congress, courts, institutions, media, survey data and Trust

Programme Area(s): Labour Economics and Public Economics

Abstract: We document that trust in public institutions--and particularly trust in banks, business and government--has declined over recent years. U.S. time series evidence suggests that this partly reflects the pro-cyclical nature of trust in institutions. Cross-country comparisons reveal a clear legacy of the Great Recession, and those countries whose unemployment grew the most suffered the biggest loss in confidence in institutions, particularly in trust in government and the financial sector. Finally, analysis of several repeated cross-sections of confidence within U.S. states yields similar qualitative patterns, but much smaller magnitudes in response to state-specific shocks.

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Bibliographic Reference

Stevenson, B and Wolfers, J. 2011. 'Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research.