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Title: Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a Microfounded New Keynesian Model
Author(s): Klaus Adam and Michael Woodford
Publication Date: February 2012
Keyword(s): belief distortions, near-rational expectations, robust control and target criterion
Programme Area(s): International Macroeconomics
Abstract: We consider optimal monetary stabilization policy in a New Keynesian model with explicit microfoundations, when the central bank recognizes that private-sector expectations need not be precisely model-consistent, and wishes to choose a policy that will be as good as possible in the case of any beliefs close enough to model-consistency. We show how to characterize robustly optimal policy without restricting consideration a priori to a particular parametric family of candidate policy rules. We show that robustly optimal policy can be implemented through commitment to a target criterion involving only the paths of inflation and a suitably defined output gap, but that a concern for robustness requires greater resistance to surprise increases in inflation than would be considered optimal if one could count on the private sector to have 'rational expectations'.
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Bibliographic Reference
Adam, K and Woodford, M. 2012. 'Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a Microfounded New Keynesian Model'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=8826