Discussion Paper Details

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Title: The Economic and Demographic Transition, Mortality, and Comparative Development

Author(s): Matteo Cervellati and Uwe Sunde

Publication Date: February 2013

Keyword(s): adult mortality, child mortality, comparative development, development traps, economic and demographic transition, heterogeneous human capital, quantitative analysis and unified growth model

Programme Area(s): Development Economics

Abstract: We propose a unified growth theory to investigate the mechanics generating the economic and demographic transition, and the role of mortality differences for comparative development. The framework can replicate the quantitative patterns in historical time series data and in contemporaneous cross-country panel data, including the bi-modal distribution of the endogenous variables across countries. The results suggest that differences in extrinsic mortality might explain a substantial part of the observed differences in the timing of the take-off across countries and the worldwide density distribution of the main variables of interest.

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Bibliographic Reference

Cervellati, M and Sunde, U. 2013. 'The Economic and Demographic Transition, Mortality, and Comparative Development'. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research.