DP10001 The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data

Author(s): Carlo Altavilla, Domenico Giannone
Publication Date: June 2014
Keyword(s): Forward Guidance, Large Scale Asset Purchases, Operation Twist, Quantitative Easing, Survey of Professional Forecasters, Tapering
JEL(s): E58, E65
Programme Areas: International Macroeconomics
Link to this Page: cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=10001

We assess the perception of professional forecasters regarding the effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy measures undertaken by the U.S. Federal Reserve after the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Using individual survey data, we analyse the changes in forecasting of bond yields around the announcement and implementation dates of non-standard monetary policies. The results indicate that bond yields are expected to drop significantly for at least one year after the announcement and the implementation of accommodative policies.