DP12113 Strategic Entry and Potential Competition: Evidence from Compressed Gas Fuel Retail

Author(s):	Giulia Pavan, Andrea Pozzi, Gabriele Rovigatti
Publication Date:	June 2017
Date Revised:	September 2018
Keyword(s):	potential entrants, preemption, retail fuel market
JEL(s):	L12, L22, L81
Programme Areas:	Industrial Organization
Link to this Page:	cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=12113

We provide novel evidence on the effect of the threat of potential competition on the timing of entry in a new and growing industry. Exploiting a change in regulation in the Italian retail fuel market that generates exogenous variation in the number of potential entrants in the emerging Compressed Natural Gas segment, we show that markets with a higher number of potential entrants witness speedier entry decisions by firms managers. We document that this result is likely driven by an increase in the incentives to preempt the market due to heightened risk of being anticipated by competitors.