DP12541 The Combination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks: A TVP-FAVAR Approach
|Author(s):||Francesco Molteni, Evi Pappa|
|Publication Date:||December 2017|
|Keyword(s):||fiscal policy shocks, monetary policy shocks, narrative evidence, TVP-FAVAR|
|JEL(s):||C32, E52, E62, E63, E65|
|Programme Areas:||Monetary Economics and Fluctuations|
|Link to this Page:||cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=12541|
We analyze the joint effects of monetary and fiscal policy shocks in the U.S. economy using a factor augmented vector autoregressive model with drifting coefficients and stochastic volatility. The time varying structure of the model allows us to assess whether the transmission of monetary policy shocks differ when combined with exogenous expansionary and contractionary fiscal shocks, identified with the narrative approach. Government spending and temporary fiscal transfers weaken the effects of monetary policy shocks; permanent transfers are less effective to counteract the demand effects of monetary policy changes; while tax shocks do not alter the propagation of monetary policy shocks.