DP15140 Who Voted for Trump? Populism and Social Capital
|Author(s):||Paola Giuliano, Romain Wacziarg|
|Publication Date:||August 2020|
|Keyword(s):||populism, social capital, voting behavior|
|Programme Areas:||Labour Economics|
|Link to this Page:||cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=15140|
We argue that low levels of social capital are conducive to the electoral success of populist movements. Using a variety of data sources for the 2016 US Presidential election at the county and individual levels, we show that social capital, measured either by the density of memberships in civic, religious and sports organizations or by generalized trust, is significantly negatively correlated with the vote share and favorability rating of Donald Trump around the time of the election.