DP15434 From a common empire to colonial rule: commodity market disintegration in the Near East
|Publication Date:||November 2020|
|Date Revised:||January 2021|
|Keyword(s):||cointegration, Colonial linkages, Interwar era, market integration, Near East|
|Programme Areas:||Economic History|
|Link to this Page:||cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=15434|
This paper investigates the impact of the disruption of the Ottoman Empire on the integration of regional and colonial commodity markets in the Near East during 1923-1939. Exploiting a novel dataset on quarterly wholesale prices in interwar Syria, Egypt, Turkey, France and the UK, it tests for cointegration and quantifies the magnitude and speed of price convergence across markets using VECMs. The results indicate that while regional markets disintegrated, colonial market linkages strengthened, because of the anti-global environment of the interwar era.