DP216 The EMS, The Dollar and the Yen

Author(s): Rudiger Dornbusch
Publication Date: December 1987
Keyword(s): Dual Exchange Rate System, European Monetary System, Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Seigniorage
JEL(s): 133, 134, 431, 432
Programme Areas: International Macroeconomics
Link to this Page: cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=216

The paper investigates four challenges to exchange rate stability in the coming years and explores their implications for macroeconomic and exchange rate policy. The first section explores the importance of seigniorage in financing the government budget in Southern European countries. The second issue concerns real interest rates. The third obstacle to exchange rate stability is the continuing, sizeable overvaluation of the dollar. The paper also discusses excess capital mobility and the rationality of exchange markets, and endorses the Tobin proposal for market segmentation.