DP323 Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates for the G7

Author(s): Ray Barrell, Simon Wren-Lewis
Publication Date: June 1989
Keyword(s): Capital Flows, Current Account, Exchange Rates
JEL(s): 411, 431
Programme Areas: International Macroeconomics
Link to this Page: cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=323

The Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate (FEER) is the real exchange rate which produces a current account that is exactly matched by equilibrium medium-term capital flows. This paper sets out a small model to calculate FEERs for the G7 from 1971 to 1988. This model's parameters are either directly estimated or derived from the long-run properties of a larger world econometric model, GEM. Particular attention is paid to feedbacks from the FEER to the NAIRU, and interactions between world output, trade and commodity prices.