DP3794 Financial Crisis, Economic Recovery and Banking Development in Former Soviet Union Economies

Author(s): Haizhou Huang, Dalia Marin, Chenggang Xu
Publication Date: February 2003
Keyword(s): banking development, institutional trap, non-banking finance
JEL(s): D82, G21, G30, O16, P34
Programme Areas: Financial Economics, Industrial Organization, Transition Economics
Link to this Page: cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=3794

This Paper explains both the onset of the financial crisis in 1998 and the striking economic recovery afterwards in Russia and other Former Soviet Union (FSU) economies. Before the crisis banks do not lend to the real sector of the economy, and firms use non-bank finance - including trade credits and barter trade - to finance production. The banking failure arises due to the coexistence of adverse selection in a lemons credit market jointly with high government borrowing. The collapse of the treasury bills market in the financial crisis of August 1998 triggers a change in banks' lending behaviour. As a result output recovers which provides initial conditions for banking development.