DP7904 Are Free Trade Agreements Contagious?
|Author(s):||Richard Baldwin, Dany Jaimovich|
|Publication Date:||June 2010|
|Keyword(s):||Contagion Effec, Free Trade Agreements, International Trade|
|Programme Areas:||International Trade and Regional Economics|
|Link to this Page:||cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=7904|
This paper presents a new model of the domino effect which is used to generate an empirical index of how "contagious" FTAs are with respect to third nations due to the trade diversion. We test our contagion hypothesis together with alternative specifications of interdependence and other political, economical and geographical determinants of FTA formation. Our main finding is that contagion is present in our data and is robust to various econometric specifications and samples.