DP9670 The Mother of All Sudden Stops: Capital Flows and Reversals in Europe, 1919-1932

Author(s): Olivier Accominotti, Barry Eichengreen
Publication Date: October 2013
Keyword(s): Capital flows, Europe, Great Depression, Sudden Stop
JEL(s): F21, F32, F34, N13, N24
Programme Areas: International Macroeconomics, Economic History
Link to this Page: cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=9670

We present new data documenting European capital issues in major financial centers from 1919 to 1932. Push factors (conditions in international capital markets) perform better than pull factors (conditions in the borrowing countries) in explaining the surge and reversal in capital flows. In particular, the sharp increase in stock market volatility in the major financial centers at the end of the 1920s figured importantly in the decline in foreign lending. We draw parallels with Europe today.