€-coin rises in March

Friday, April 1, 2022
  •  The €-coin indicator rose again in March (to 0.77 from 0.59 in February). It should however be noted that given the date of publication of the data, some of the indicator’s underlying variables refer to periods prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
  • The resilience of business confidence and the recovery in equity prices are factors contributing to the positive trend of the indicator and there are also signs that demand is holding up.
  • The €-coin indicator developed by the Bank of Italy provides a summary index of the current economic situation in the euro area. The indicator is an estimate of quarterly GDP growth shorn of the most erratic components (seasonal variations, measurement errors and short-run volatility). €-coin is published monthly by the Bank of Italy and CEPR.
  • As of January 2021, a new version of the indicator has been released, which incorporates some revisions to the database and to the sample on which our estimates are based. More information has been included regarding services – a sector whose importance has increased in terms of value added in the euro area
  • Next €-coin release dates: Friday, 6 May and Wednesday, 1 June (provisional).

€-coin and euro-area GDP – March 2022

 

Source: Bank of Italy and Eurostat. 
Note: The €-coin series is based on the real time estimates of the indicator at a given date and hence the series is not revised. On the other hand, the GDP growth rates are calculated on the basis of Eurostat’s most recently published series and do reflect any changes in the historical data.

More information is available at http://eurocoin.cepr.org/