This session is designed to anticipate the trajectory of artificial intelligence and its potentially transformative impact over the coming years. A member of the team of the thought-provoking "AI 2027" scenario forecast—superforecaster Eli Lifland—will present their detailed forecast for rapid AI development in the coming years. The session will outline a plausible, concrete pathway toward potentially transformative AI emerging by 2027, paying attention to the dimensions most relevant to economists such as the automation of cognitive tasks, effects on labor markets, AI-driven acceleration in technological progress, and potential large-scale economic shifts. 

 

Following the presentation, a discussion will evaluate the scenario forecast and debate key research directions for economists preparing for these potential futures.