Discussion paper

DP11239 New road infrastructure: the effects on firms

This paper estimates the impact of new road infrastructure on employment and productivity using plant level longitudinal data for Britain. Exposure to transport improvements is measured through changes in accessibility, which is calculated at a detailed geographical scale from changes in minimum journey times along the road network. These changes are induced by the construction of new road link schemes. We deal with the potential endogeneity of scheme location by identifying the effects of changes in accessibility from variation across wards close to the scheme. We find substantial positive effects on employment and numbers of plants for small-scale geographical areas (electoral wards). In contrast, for firms already in the area we find negative effects on employment coupled with increases in output per worker and wages. A plausible interpretation is that new transport infrastructure attracts transport intensive firms to an area, but with some cost to employment in existing businesses.


Overman, H, S Gibbons, T Lyytikainen and R Sanchis-Guarner (2016), ‘DP11239 New road infrastructure: the effects on firms ‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 11239. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp11239