Discussion paper

DP14501 Populism and War

Populist rulers in economic superpowers have important effects on international relations, conflict risk and inequality. We show that the consequences for civil war risk and inequality are largely negative, while interstate conflict risk increases for dyads with sufficient asymmetry in terms of trade openness and relative military power.


Morelli, M, A Mattozzi and M Nakaguma (2020), ‘DP14501 Populism and War‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 14501. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp14501