Discussion paper

DP14791 Tractable Epidemiological Models for Economic Analysis

We contrast the canonical epidemiological SIR model due to Kermack and McKendrick (1927) with more tractable alternatives that off er similar degrees of "realism" and flexibility. We provide results connecting the diff erent models which can be exploited for calibration purposes. We use the expected spread of COVID-19 in the United States to exemplify our results.

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Citation

Gonzalez-Eiras, M and D Niepelt (2020), ‘DP14791 Tractable Epidemiological Models for Economic Analysis‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 14791. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp14791