DP16372 How many lives could be saved through the early sharing of vaccines globally?
Vaccination is proceeding along national lines. While over 50 percent of the population in many advanced countries has been vaccinated, the vaccination rate in the rest of the world is lagging and substantial coverage is expected only in few months. This paper presents a thought experiment of distributing vaccines to the individuals at risks in every country after a substantial share of the population in surplus countries is vaccinated. Under reasonable assumptions, 400 to 800 thousand lives could be saved between June and December 2021, through the early sharing of vaccine surpluses across countries.