Discussion paper

DP17127 Winners and Losers of House Price Booms and Busts

Fluctuations in house price generate substantial heterogeneity in the price of purchase of similar dwellings depending on the time of purchase. These differences in the price of purchase have large effects on life-time consumption and on income-net-of- housing-costs. We document these effects using the large house price fluctuations during the recent housing boom-bust in Spain. Households can mitigate these impacts through changing labor supply which we estimate using an IV strategy. Men work more in response to higher house prices, whereas the correlation of house prices and labor supply for women is driven by selection: households where women work more, buy more expensive houses.

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Citation

Low, H and V Sánchez-Marcos (2022), ‘DP17127 Winners and Losers of House Price Booms and Busts‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 17127. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp17127