Discussion paper

DP17841 The Legacies of War for Ukraine

This article reviews the literature on the multifaceted consequences of historical conflict. We revisit three key topics, which are especially relevant for the current Ukrainian context. 1) The negative long-term impact of bombing campaigns and political repression against civilians. 2) The interplay between forced migration, refugees, and war. 3) The role of gender and war, with a special focus on sex ratios and conflict-related sexual violence. We conclude with an empirical investigation of the Russian war against Ukraine, including aforementioned historical determinants such as ethnic populations, historical political repression and voting outcomes.


Munroe, E, A Nosach, M Pedrozo, E Guarnieri, J Riano, A Tur-Prats and F Valencia Caicedo (2023), ‘DP17841 The Legacies of War for Ukraine‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 17841. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp17841