Discussion paper

DP20167 Banks and the State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy

We show that the response of banks' net interest margin (NIM) to monetary policy shocks is state dependent. Following a period of low (high) Federal Funds rates, a contractionary monetary policy shock leads to a significantly increase (decrease) in NIM. The response of aggregate economic activity exhibits a similar state dependent pattern. To explain these dynamics, we develop a banking model in which households’ attentiveness to deposit interest rates is influenced by social interactions. We embed this framework within a heterogeneous-agent NK model in which state-dependent responses in NIM to a monetary policy shock generate state-dependent responses in aggregate economic activity. Our estimated model accounts well quantitatively for our key empirical findings.

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Citation

Eichenbaum, M, F Puglisi, S Rebelo and M Trabandt (2025), ‘DP20167 Banks and the State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 20167. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp20167