Discussion paper

DP4591 The Role of Risk Aversion in Predicting Individual Behaviours

We use household survey data to construct a direct measure of absolute risk aversion based on the maximum price a consumer is willing to pay to buy a risky asset. We relate this measure to a set of consumers? decisions that in theory should vary with attitude towards risk. We find that elicited risk aversion has considerable predictive power for a number of key household decisions such as choice of occupation, portfolio selection, moving decisions and exposure to chronic diseases in ways consistent with theory. We also use this indicator to address the importance of self-selection when relating indicators of risk to individual saving decisions.


Guiso, L and M Pagel (eds) (2004), “DP4591 The Role of Risk Aversion in Predicting Individual Behaviours”, CEPR Press Discussion Paper No. 4591. https://cepr.org/publications/dp4591