Discussion paper

DP7539 The 'Puzzles' Methodology: en route to Indirect Inference?

We review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments with data moments. We compare these with the method of Indirect Inference to which they are closely related. We illustrate the comparison with contrasting assessments of a two-country model in two recent papers. We conclude that Indirect Inference is the proper end point of the puzzles methodology.


Minford, P, M Wickens and V Le (2009), ‘DP7539 The 'Puzzles' Methodology: en route to Indirect Inference?‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 7539. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp7539