Discussion paper DP17566 Is a Global Recession Imminent? Justin Damien Guénette M. Ayhan Kose Naotaka Sugawara 3 Oct 2022 International Macroeconomics and Finance E17 E32 E37 E58 F44 G01
Discussion paper DP17512 Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions Andrea Carriero Todd Clark Massimiliano Marcellino 28 Jul 2022 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C53 E17 E37 F47
Discussion paper DP17259 Shipping Costs and Inflation Yan Carriere-Swallow Pragyan Deb Davide Furceri Daniel Jiménez Jonathan D. Ostry 26 Apr 2022 International Macroeconomics and Finance E31 E37 Q43
Discussion paper DP16583 Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World Kristin Forbes Joseph Gagnon Christopher Collins 27 Sep 2021 International Macroeconomics and Finance Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E31 E37 E52 E58 F62
Discussion paper DP16357 Equity premium predictability over the business cycle Emanuel Moench Tobias Stein 12 Sep 2021 Financial Economics E32 E37 C53 G11 G17
Discussion paper DP16496 Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency Massimiliano Marcellino Todd Clark Andrea Carriero 31 Aug 2021 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C53 E17 E37 F47
Discussion paper DP16403 Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment Günter Coenen Carlos Montes-Galdón Sebastian Schmidt 27 Jul 2021 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E31 E32 E37 E52 E58
Discussion paper DP16277 Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery Lutz Kilian Nomikos Nikos Xiaoqing Zhou 19 Jun 2021 International Macroeconomics and Finance E32 E37 F47 F62
Discussion paper DP16153 Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov Luca Antonio Ricci Alejandro Werner Rene Zamarripa 13 May 2021 International Macroeconomics and Finance Macroeconomics and Growth E17 E37 F47
Discussion paper DP16050 Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment Günter Coenen Carlos Montes-Galdón Frank Smets 18 Apr 2021 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E31 E32 E37 E52 E62
Discussion paper DP15979 Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations Jesús Fernández-Villaverde Thorsten Drautzburg Pablo Guerron 29 Mar 2021 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E32 E37 E44 J20
Discussion paper DP15964 Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility Massimiliano Marcellino Todd Clark Andrea Carriero Elmar Mertens 25 Mar 2021 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C53 E17 E37 F47