Discussion paper DP11107 The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers Lutz Kilian 14 Feb 2016 International Macroeconomics and Finance F14 Q33 Q43
Discussion paper DP11035 Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 17 Jan 2016 International Macroeconomics and Finance C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10430 Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand James Stock Lutz Kilian Lucas W Davis John Coglianese 22 Feb 2015 International Macroeconomics C23 Q41 Q43
Discussion paper DP10404 Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 8 Feb 2015 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10362 Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 25 Jan 2015 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10304 The Impact of the Shale Oil Revolution on U.S. Oil and Gasoline Prices Lutz Kilian 21 Dec 2014 International Macroeconomics Q33 Q43
Discussion paper DP10162 A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 28 Sep 2014 International Macroeconomics C53 D84 G14 Q43
Discussion paper DP10075 Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 27 Jul 2014 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10040 The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions Lutz Kilian Robert J. Vigfusson 22 Jun 2014 International Macroeconomics E32 E37 E51 Q43
Discussion paper DP9823 Oil Price Shocks: Causes and Consequences Lutz Kilian 9 Feb 2014 International Macroeconomics Q43
Discussion paper DP9808 Speculation in the Oil Market Ivan Petrella Luciana Juvenal 2 Feb 2014 International Macroeconomics C32 D84 Q41 Q43
Discussion paper DP9768 Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 1 Dec 2013 International Macroeconomics C53 G14 Q43