Discussion paper DP13829 The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia Christopher Blattman Oeindrila Dube Samuel Bazzi Matthew Gudgeon Richard Peck Robert Blair 27 Jun 2019 Development Economics D74 C52 C53
Discussion paper DP13519 The Slope of the Term Structure and Recessions: Evidence from the UK, 1822-2016 Charles Goodhart Terence Mills Forrest Capie 11 Feb 2019 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E30 E32 E43 E44 N10
VoxEU Column Predicting recessions using term spread at the zero lower bound: The case of the euro area Nicola Mai Oliver Mohr Ralf Fendel 17 Jan 2019 EU institutions EU policies Macroeconomic policy
Discussion paper DP11132 Bread and Bullet 22 Feb 2016 Macroeconomics and Growth A12 A13 A14 D03 D04 D20 D23 D30 D62 D71 D72 D74
Discussion paper DP9312 Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility Massimiliano Marcellino Andrea Carriero Todd Clark 27 Jan 2013 International Macroeconomics C22 C53 E37
Discussion paper DP4222 Prudent Monetary Policy: Applications of Cautious LQG Control and Prediction Frederick van der Ploeg 23 Feb 2004 International Macroeconomics D80 E40 E50 E60
Discussion paper DP833 Turning Point Prediction for the UK using CSO Leading Indicators Michael Artis 30 Sep 1993 International Macroeconomics E32 E37 E66
