VoxEU Column Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts Paulo Santos Monteiro Fabrizio Iacone Alessia Paccagnini Laura Coroneo 16 Feb 2022 COVID-19
VoxEU Column Temporary layoffs as a measure of firms’ forecast of the future Andrea Weber Arash Nekoei 1 Jul 2020 COVID-19 Labour Markets
Discussion paper DP11608 What is the Expected Return on a Stock? Ian Martin 4 Nov 2016 Financial Economics G10 G12 G17 G31 G32 E22 E44
VoxEU Column We are shrinking! The neglected drop in Gross Planet Product Peter A.G. van Bergeijk 7 Dec 2015 Global economy
Discussion paper DP10162 A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 28 Sep 2014 International Macroeconomics C53 D84 G14 Q43
VoxEU Column Low for how long? Estimating the ECB’s “Extended Period of Time” Volker Wieland Tilman Bletzinger 5 Sep 2013 Monetary Policy
Discussion paper DP8698 Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 1 Dec 2011 International Macroeconomics C53 E32 Q43
Discussion paper DP8414 Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 1 Jun 2011 International Macroeconomics C53 E32 Q43
VoxEU Column A century of inflation forecast Paolo Surico Antonello D’Agostino 18 Apr 2011 Macroeconomic policy Monetary Policy
Discussion paper DP7746 Short-Term Inflation Projections: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive approach Domenico Giannone Michele Lenza Luca Onorante Daphne Momferatou 21 Mar 2010 International Macroeconomics C11 C13 C33 C53
VoxEU Column Bad forecasters can be good policymakers Thomas Sargent Martin Ellison 24 Nov 2009 Macroeconomic policy
