Discussion paper DP18524 Forecasting crashes with a smile Ian Martin Ran Shi 12 Oct 2023 Asset Pricing G12 G17
Discussion paper DP16194 Estimating the Consequences of Climate Change from Variation in Weather Derek Lemoine 26 May 2021 Climate Change C23 Q12 Q51 Q54
Discussion paper DP15964 Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility Massimiliano Marcellino Todd Clark Andrea Carriero Elmar Mertens 25 Mar 2021 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C53 E17 E37 F47
Discussion paper DP15446 A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models Fabio Canova Filippo Ferroni 12 Nov 2020 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E52 E32 C10
VoxEU Column The accuracy of long-term growth forecasts by economics researchers Masayuki Morikawa 10 Feb 2020 Macroeconomic policy
Discussion paper DP14060 Auctions with Unknown Capacities: Understanding Competition among Renewables Natalia Fabra Gerard Llobet 16 Oct 2019 Industrial Organization
VoxEU Column Continued growth in a changing policy context: The European Commission’s autumn forecast Björn Döhring Marco Buti 9 Nov 2017 EU policies Europe's nations and regions
VoxEU Column Policy analysis in a post-truth world Charles Manski 24 Dec 2016 Frontiers of economic research Politics and economics
VoxEU Column Lousy experts: Looking back at the ex ante estimates of the costs of Brexit Nauro Campos 4 Aug 2016 Europe's nations and regions Frontiers of economic research
VoxEU Column Predicting the effects of Brexit: Forecasting in economics and finance Allan Timmermann Graham Elliott 15 Jul 2016 Frontiers of economic research
VoxEU Column Inflation targeting does not anchor inflation expectations: Evidence from a new firm survey Saten Kumar Olivier Coibion Yuriy Gorodnichenko Hassan Afrouzi 13 Oct 2015 Monetary Policy