Discussion paper DP10147 Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans Laura Veldkamp 21 Sep 2014 Financial Economics International Macroeconomics C1 E3 G1
VoxEU Column Rapid growth in emerging markets and developing economies: Now and forever? Paolo Mauro Giang Ho 12 Sep 2014 Development Macroeconomic policy
VoxEU Column Model risk and the implications for risk management, macroprudential policy, and financial regulations Ilknur Zer Kevin James Marcela Valenzuela Jon Danielsson 8 Jun 2014 Financial Markets
VoxEU Column “There will be growth in the spring”: How well do economists predict turning points? Prakash Loungani Hites Ahir 14 Apr 2014 Global crisis
Discussion paper DP9576 Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models? Barbara Rossi Refet Gürkaynak Burçin Kısacıkoğlu 28 Jul 2013 International Macroeconomics C22 C52 C53
Discussion paper DP9575 Exchange Rate Predictability Barbara Rossi 28 Jul 2013 Exchange Rates International Macroeconomics C5 F3
Discussion paper DP9472 Which Fundamentals Drive Exchange Rates? A Cross-Sectional Perspective Lucio Sarno Maik Schmeling 12 May 2013 International Macroeconomics F31 G10
VoxEU Column Should the role of preparing budgetary projections be delegated to an independent agency? Javier Perez Rossana Merola 1 May 2013 Global crisis Monetary Policy
Discussion paper DP9334 Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility Massimiliano Marcellino Fabrizio Venditti 10 Feb 2013 International Macroeconomics C22 E27 E32
Discussion paper DP9312 Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility Massimiliano Marcellino Andrea Carriero Todd Clark 27 Jan 2013 International Macroeconomics C22 C53 E37
Discussion paper DP9269 The failure to predict the Great Recession. The failure of academic economics? A view focusing on the role of credit Gabriel Pérez Quirós Maria Dolores Gadea Rivas 16 Dec 2012 International Macroeconomics C22 E32