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Charles Bean

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Agricultural Development and Human Capital in India

Economic Development and Environmental Sustainability under Decentralized Governance

Firm Heterogeneity and Structural Transformation in Developing Countries: Seven Decades of Plant-Level Evidence from Colombia

Firm Relocation as Environmental Policy: Impacts on Agglomeration, Workers and the Environment

Gender roles, work and structural transformation in a patriarchal society: Evidence from a household panel survey on Ghana

Gender, work and structural transformation

Heterogeneous Impacts of Market Integration: Evidence from Pakistan's Motorways

How Formal Property Rights Shape Social and Economic Networks: Evidence from a Land Tenure Reform Implemented as Randomized Control-Trial

Informality and the Cost of Children in Developing Countries

Marketplaces as focal points of structural transformation: understanding their emergence, persistence and decline using historical maps and satellite imagery

Measuring Global Industrial Policy: Patterns and Structure of IP Across Developing Economies, 2008-2020

Persistence of Inequality after the Apartheid: Assessing the role of Geography and Skills

Quantifying the Gains from Eradicating Malaria using a Structural Model

The impact of climate change on human capital accumulation: A macroeconomic perspective

The Impact of Multinationals on Informality: Evidence from Mexico

The interaction of public and private sector employment in least developed countries

Unpacking Economic Development: Evidence from Cohort- and Region-Level Data

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Charles Bean Publication

Geneva 17: Low for Long? Causes and Consequences of Persistently Low Interest Rates

Report

Geneva Reports on the World Economy

Geneva 17: Low for Long? Causes and Consequences of Persistently Low Interest Rates

Charles Bean
Christian Broda
Takatoshi Ito
Randall Kroszner

23 Oct 2015

Summary
Historical context
Some key facts
Introduction: Low for Long? Causes and Consequences of Persistently Low Interest Rates
Summing up
Risky versus safe assets and portfolio shifts
A lower propensity to invest
A higher propensity to save
Why have (safe) real interest rates fallen?
Demography
Effects of low interest rates on the private sector
Escaping the deflationary trap
From disinflation to deflation
A brief chronology
Lessons from Japan
Concluding remarks
Prospects
Financial markets and financial stability
Monetary policy
Policies and prospects