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Themes

Key Themes
Artificial Intelligence
Central Banking
Climate Change
Competition Policy
Development & Growth
Economic History
Energy
EU Economic Architecture
Inflation
Political Economy
Poverty and income inequality
Sustainable Finance
Ukraine Initiative
Women in Economics
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Exchange Rates
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International Trade
Labour Markets
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Monetary Policy
Productivity and Innovation
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Focus On
The Economic Consequences of the War
Trump & Tariffs

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Lutz Kilian

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Agricultural Development and Human Capital in India

Economic Development and Environmental Sustainability under Decentralized Governance

Firm Heterogeneity and Structural Transformation in Developing Countries: Seven Decades of Plant-Level Evidence from Colombia

Firm Relocation as Environmental Policy: Impacts on Agglomeration, Workers and the Environment

Gender roles, work and structural transformation in a patriarchal society: Evidence from a household panel survey on Ghana

Gender, work and structural transformation

Heterogeneous Impacts of Market Integration: Evidence from Pakistan's Motorways

How Formal Property Rights Shape Social and Economic Networks: Evidence from a Land Tenure Reform Implemented as Randomized Control-Trial

Informality and the Cost of Children in Developing Countries

Marketplaces as focal points of structural transformation: understanding their emergence, persistence and decline using historical maps and satellite imagery

Measuring Global Industrial Policy: Patterns and Structure of IP Across Developing Economies, 2008-2020

Persistence of Inequality after the Apartheid: Assessing the role of Geography and Skills

Quantifying the Gains from Eradicating Malaria using a Structural Model

The impact of climate change on human capital accumulation: A macroeconomic perspective

The Impact of Multinationals on Informality: Evidence from Mexico

The interaction of public and private sector employment in least developed countries

Unpacking Economic Development: Evidence from Cohort- and Region-Level Data

Reducing Conflict and Improving Performance in the Economy (ReCIPE)

Selected filters

Lutz Kilian

Discussion paper

DP20159 The Conventional Impulse Response Prior in VAR Models with Sign Restrictions

Atsushi Inoue
Lutz Kilian

23 Apr 2025

International Macroeconomics and Finance
C32
C52

Discussion paper

DP19684 Nonparametric Local Projections

Silvia Goncalves
Ana Maria Herrera
Lutz Kilian
Elena Pesavento

17 Nov 2024

International Macroeconomics and Finance
C14
C32
E52

Oil platform on economic data background

VoxEU Column

Geopolitical risk to oil production is not a major driver of the economy

Lutz Kilian
Michael D. Plante
Alexander W. Richter

29 Jul 2024

Energy
Politics and economics

Discussion paper

DP19227 When Is the Use of Gaussian-inverse Wishart-Haar Priors Appropriate?

Atsushi Inoue
Lutz Kilian

9 Jul 2024

International Macroeconomics and Finance
C22
C32
C52
E31

Discussion paper

DP19113 Geopolitical Oil Price Risk and Economic Fluctuations

Lutz Kilian
Michael D. Plante
Alexander W. Richter

27 May 2024

International Macroeconomics and Finance
E13
E22
E32
Q43

Barrels with flag of Russian federation. Urals oil price chart.

VoxEU Column

Why oil import restrictions hurt Russia more than the price cap

Lutz Kilian
David Rapson
Burkhard Schipper

16 May 2024

Energy
International trade
Politics and economics

Discussion paper

DP18934 The Impact of the 2022 Oil Embargo and Price Cap on Russian Oil Prices

Lutz Kilian
David Rapson
Burkhard Schipper

20 Mar 2024

International Macroeconomics and Finance
F51
Q41
Q48

Discussion paper

DP18416 Oil Price Shocks and Inflation

Lutz Kilian
Xiaoqing Zhou

1 Sep 2023

International Macroeconomics and Finance
E31
Q43

Discussion paper

DP18348 How to Construct Monthly VAR Proxies Based on Daily Futures Market Surprises

Lutz Kilian

4 Aug 2023

International Macroeconomics and Finance
C36
C51
E31
E32
E44
Q43

Discussion paper

DP18201 Jointly Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks

Lutz Kilian
Michael D. Plante
Alexander W. Richter

8 Jun 2023

International Macroeconomics and Finance
C32
C51
C61
E32

VoxEU Column

The inflationary impact of energy prices

Lutz Kilian
Xiaoqing Zhou

10 Feb 2023

Energy
Inflation

Discussion paper

DP17804 Heterogeneity in the Pass-Through from Oil to Gasoline Prices: A New Instrument for Estimating the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand

Lutz Kilian
Xiaoqing Zhou

12 Jan 2023

International Macroeconomics and Finance
D12
Q41

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