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Bulletin
No 32 April 1989
IN THIS
ISSUE...
CEPR's latest book is a timely consideration of the economic issues
underlying the debate over European monetary unification and the
creation of a European Central Bank. This Bulletin features a report of
the volume's launch, at which a special panel discussed its findings and
the recommendations of the Delors Report on economic and monetary union.
There are also reports of an Anglo/French Colloquium on population
economics, a conference on the economic modelling of primary commodity
prices, and the first meeting of a new European network of researchers
on financial markets.
A
European Central Bank?
The Centre held a panel discussion to launch its book on A European
Central Bank? Perspectives on Monetary Unification after Ten Years of
the EMS. The book assesses the costs and benefits of monetary
unification and the institutional issues in the creation of a European
Central Bank.
Population
Economics
The tenth Anglo/French Colloquium, held this year in London, was
devoted to `Population Economics'. The participants discussed the
effects of demographic changes on labour supply behaviour, the
interactions between demographic variables and savings, and the
measurement of consumption and welfare within households.
Primary
Commodity Prices
A conference in March brought together participants from the United
States and Europe to analyse econometric modelling of primary commodity
prices and the merits of schemes to stabilize LDC earnings from
commodity exports.
European
Financial Markets Network
A new European Network on Financial Markets has been established
under CEPR's auspices, with financial support from the European Science
Foundation's Scientific Networks Programme, to provide European
researchers with a forum to discuss their research and develop
collaborative projects. Its first meeting was held in April.
Lunchtime Meetings
At a lunchtime meeting in March, Gernot Klepper examined the
consequences of 1992 for European consumers and producers of pharmaceutical
products.
Elisabetta Bertero presented the first global analysis of the stock
market crash of 1987.
This revealed that the existence of computer-based trading did not
significantly affect the size of the crash in different countries.
Robert Gordon argued that there is considerable historical evidence to
support `hysteresis' explanations
of unemployment,
but little evidence to support Friedman's natural rate hypothesis.
Footwear
protection in the UK is expensive,
Alan Winters told a lunchtime meeting in March, and does not appreciably
benefit UK producers.
Jacques Melitz argued that an EMS
realignment,
the sharing of control over monetary policy, and the abolition of legal
reserve requirements would help European financial integration succeed.
Damien Neven examined the structural
changes in European retail banking
which will follow from recent EC directives to stimulate competition.
Stephen Nickell discussed whether there has been a `Thatcher
miracle' in
the UK economy since 1979.
Discussion Papers
George Alogoskoufis analyses how McKinnon's and Williamson's proposals
for more stable exchange
rates
compare to optimal monetary regimes.
Martin Neil Baily and Robert Gordon find that measurement errors partly
explain the slowdown in US
productivity
growth since 1973.
Daniel Cohen and Charles Wyplosz argue that the debate over European
Monetary Union
should take account of an important spillover: the externality
associated with the determination of Europe's common trade balance and
real exchange rate.
Marcus Miller and Paul Weller describe an analytical technique which can
be used to analyse the behaviour of a variety of macroeconomic
models,
including an exchange rate band.
Jacques Melitz and Christian Bordes analyse the implications
of deregulation of financial markets
for macroeconomic policy and stability.
Stephen Nickell and Sushil Wadhwani conduct an empirical analysis of UK
companies to test the significance of `insider'
forces and
hysteresis in the labour market.
Ramon Caminal, Jordi Gual and Xavier Vives examine the prospects for
increased competition in Spanish
banking after 1992.
Charles Bean and James Symons investigate macroeconomic developments in
the UK
economy since 1979,
focusing on the behaviour of unemployment.
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