Bulletin No 69 Summer 1997

IN THIS ISSUE...

This issue of the Bulletin reports research on labour-market rigidities and unemployment and conference and workshop proceedings on various aspects of EMU, the Japanese economy, the dynamics of unemployment, European competition policy, location and regional convergence, and the impacts of structural change on labour markets.

Labour Market Rigidities

Recent research suggests that the belief that rigidities in labour markets are largely responsible for high European unemployment rates is misleadingly simplistic and leads to politically non-viable remedies

EMU: Monetary Policy

The costs of losing national control over monetary and exchange rate policy tools, and the consequences for the efficacy of monetary policy, were the broad themes of a joint conference with Banco de Portugal in Lisbon.

EMU: 'Stability Pact'

Whether a stability pact would help secure fiscal consolidation among EU members, or promote instability by imposing excessive adjustments on them, were among the questions addressed in a joint conference with the European Forum of the European University Institute in Florence.

Japan: Economic Policy and Behaviour

The fourth conference of the Centre's European Network on the Japanese Economy, held jointly with STICERD and CEP at the LSE, sought to place a wide spectrum of Japanese economic issues in comparative perspective.

Unemployment Dynamics

High unemployment formed the background to a Cambridge conference on the mechanisms underlying the dynamics of unemployment, including the reasons for, and the policy implications of, unemployment persistence.

Competition Policy

At a workshop held in Florence, the design requirements of European competition policy, and progress in implementing existing policies, were examined.

Location and Regional Convergence

The causes and consequences of urban agglomerations and of regional divergence and convergence, including cross-country effects, were discussed at a workshop held at CORE.

Labour Markets and Structural Change

A joint workshop with the Tinbergen Institute in Amsterdam focused on the main approaches to research on inflows and outflows of people and jobs in the labour market and their relationships to structural change.

Discussion Meetings

Simulations suggest that non-discretionary policies to stimulate innovation are relatively ineffective. At a London meeting, Paul Geroski discussed these results and the requirements for more effective policies.

If EMU proceeds, which countries will join? At a joint meeting with ECARE, Paul De Grauwe argued that a currency union comprising only a 'core group of countries was not a realistic scenario.

At a London meeting, Jonathan Haskel presented evidence of the decline in unskilled wage levels and employment opportunities in developed countries, and offered explanations and possible remedies for the trend.

At an EPI meeting in Budapest David Newbery reviewed the problems posed by the reforms of the tax and benefit systems in the Visegrád countries.

Among Recent Discussion Papers

Robert Gordon revisits the issue of the utility of the NAIRU for inflation stabilization policies.

Aldo Rustichini, Andrea Ichino and Daniele Checchi examine the relative impacts of private and public education on intergenerational mobility.

Luigi Guise and Guiseppe Parigi investigate the relationship between uncertainty and firms' investment decisions.

Marc Flandreau finds that extending analysis of target zones for exchange rate systems from the bilateral to the multilateral case produces some surprising results.

Peter Geil, Andreas Million, Ralph Rotte and Klaus Zimmerman consider whether changes in health-insurance systems would curb the rising demand for hospital visits.