What determines the relative growth performance of different economies?
Economists have long held that the immediate answer to this question lies
mostly in factor accumulation. Traditional neo-classical models emphasized
the role of investment in physical capital. More recently, the literature
on endogenous growth marks a shift to a broader concept of capital which
includes human and technological capital as well.
In Discussion Paper No. 1274, Research Affiliate Angel de la Fuente analyses
the sources of post-war growth and convergence in the OECD using an
extension of Mankiw, Romer and Weil's (1992) model in which the rate of
technical progress is determined endogenously by the level of R&D
spending and a process of technological catch-up. The results indicate
that the impact of R&D investment on growth has been significant.
Technological catch-up is found to be very fast and seems to have played
an important role in OECD convergence during the first half of the sample
period. The exhaustion of this effect, moreover, may help explain the
slowdown of growth and convergence after the mid-1970s, and suggests that
further convergence will require an important investment effort on the
part of poorer countries. Lastly, there is evidence that the neo-classical
convergence effect is also operative but its contribution to convergence
in output per worker has been minor.