Recent work on the microfoundations of macroeconomics had drawn
heavily on the concept of imperfect competition and a very promising
branch of this work consists of models which derive
"Keynesian" or other types of macroeconomic results from
microeconomic specifications which feature imperfect competition, as in
the "Keynesian features" model due to Hart. Snower, Benassy
and Dixon have also analysed models featuring imperfect competition
using different specifications, but these have failed to reproduce
Hart's results.
In this paper we re-examine a simpler version of Hart's original model.
We introduce fiscal and monetary policy into the model, allowing us to
elucidate the conditions under which monetary and fiscal policy have
effects on real output in models of this class. This allows us to
examine how differences in the model's specification affect the
relationships between policy instruments and output, prices, and other
variables of interest.
We assume that the supply of labour is fixed and completely inelastic,
which is to say there is no "disutility" of work. This means
there is an unambiguous "full employment" level of employment
and output in the model and, under perfect competition, this will always
be achieved. Imperfect competition is present in the model because of
the presence of trade unions, which seek to maximize the total wage
revenue of their members. There is no mystery about the unemployment
which may result: it is due simply to monopolistic restriction by the
sellers of labour. As such, it is "voluntary" from the
viewpoint of a trade union, but "involuntary" from the
viewpoint of an individual worker, who would always prefer to work more
at the market real wage.
We distinguish between policy "ineffectiveness" and policy
"neutrality". By "ineffectiveness" we mean the
inability to influence real output, while "neutrality" is
stronger and denotes the inability to influence any real variable. Only
monetary policy can be "neutral" in this sense. Fiscal policy,
which here refers to changes in government spending, cannot be
"neutral", since a change in real government spending is
itself a "real" change and must have some "real"
consequences. Insofar as we find conditions under which monetary and
fiscal policy are effective (i.e. can influence real output), we
also find conditions under which there is no natural rate of
unemployment (or of output or employment) since government can change
this rate by changing its policy stance.
We examine policy effectiveness by comparing the Walrasian (perfect
competition, market-clearing) equilibrium of the model with the
equilibrium which arises under the assumption of oligopolistic behaviour.
For monetary policy to be effective, then in the Walrasian
version of the model, policy should already be non-neutral, i.e.
monetary policy must affect some real variable in the Walrasian world if
it is to affect output in the imperfectly competitive world. In other
words, two deviations from the classical, Walrasian world are necessary:
imperfect competition is not enough by itself.
In particular, if expected future prices are not unit-elastic with
respect to current prices (i.e. a change in current prices does not lead
to an equal percentage change in future prices), then monetary policy
will be effective in our "Hartian" model. In Walrasian
equilibrium, non-unit-elastic expectations cause a rise in the money
supply to produce a rise in the price level which is not exactly
proportional, but do not cause it to affect output, which is fixed at
full employment. When combined with unemployment-creating imperfect
competition, however, they ensure that monetary policy does affect
output. Hart's model, appropriately reinterpreted, represents the
extreme case where the price level becomes totally independent of the
money supply, so that the latter affects output in a familiar Keynesian
manner. Under these circumstances, monetary policy is non-neutral in the
Walrasian and effective in the imperfectly competitive model.
We also examine fiscal policy and show that it will almost always affect
output if there is unemployment, whatever the effectiveness of monetary
policy. This justifies the conclusion that under unemployment-creating
imperfect competition there is no natural rate. The most clearly
"Keynesian" behaviour occurs when there are non-unit-elastic
price expectations, causing the current price to become (either
completely or partially) rigid, and causing monetary policy as well as
fiscal policy to be effective. In the present model non-unit-elasticity,
as a hypothesis considered in itself, is neither more nor less plausible
than its alternative. Future work might usefully try to embed
non-unit-elastic expectations in a model where they could prove to be
"rational".
Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a 'Hartian' World of Imperfect
Competition
Neil Rankin
Discussion Paper No. 205, November 1987 (IM)