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Currency
Union
Modelling
integration
The trade-off
between European integration and national sovereignty lies at the core
of the debate on the establishment of a single European currency. This
requires the deferral of all monetary policy decisions to an
international central bank, and much of the debate has focused on the
extent to which national independence may be maintained through fiscal
policy, while less attention has been given to the institutional
features of this international monetary agency.
Each of the member countries of a currency union can increase its own
purchasing power by printing more fiat money than its neighbours, so
coordination is needed to prevent inflationary beggar-thy-neighbour
policies. Whether or not the central bank is independent of national
governments, it will need to define the monetary policy of the union,
weighing the demands of the different countries.
In Discussion Paper No. 395, Research Fellow Alessandra Casella
argues that in principle the international central bank of a currency
union can target different money injections to different countries. This
amounts to a redistribution of seigniorage revenues, and the exact
outcome of the policy will depend on the influence that each country
exercises on the common decision making. Casella maintains that the
minimum degree of influence that each country will require if it is to
remain in the union will be determined by its potential gain from
abandoning it. Further, the existence of a common currency does not of
itself prevent monetary policy from meeting differing national needs. In
a currency union, the exchange rate is fixed by convention, but this
imposes no constraints on the money supplies in different parts of the
union.
Casella models these issues in a public finance framework, in which
consumers' utility is a function of their consumption of a private and a
public good. Different varieties of the private good are supplied by
domestic and foreign firms, while the public good is provided by the
domestic government and financed with lump-sum taxes and monetary
issues. Governments choose both the supply and the means of financing
the public good to maximize their citizens' utility, while countries
differ in their endowments and thus in their desired supplies of the
public good.
Without coordination, each country will ignore the effect on foreigners
of withdrawing resources from private production and will therefore
provide too much of the public good. Small countries will in general
demand, and obtain, more than proportional power in the union, which is
equivalent to a transfer of seigniorage revenues in their favour. It
will therefore be impossible to sustain coordination with fixed exchange
rates.
For an agreement covering several countries, all of them are small with
respect to the total, and all of them will increase their relative
demands for control and their propensities to deviate from the agreed
monetary policy of the union. Sustaining the currency union therefore
becomes increasingly difficult as the number of countries rises.
Participation in a Currency Union
Alessandra Casella
Discussion
Paper No. 395, March 1990 (IM)
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