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European
Integration
Economic and
monetary union
The increasing momentum of the political process leading to monetary
and economic integration in Europe contrasts with the growing awareness
that the integration strategy laid down in the Delors Report contains
many unresolved conceptual problems, which have prompted many economists
to reject the whole blueprint.
In Discussion Paper No. 405, Peter Bofinger accepts the overall
gradualist approach of the Report and its final target of a federative
European System of Central Banks (ESCB). He focuses on the suitability
of institutional arrangements of the ESCB for maintaining the stability
of both the price level in the European currency area and of the EMS
itself, in the face of speculative attacks, and he seeks both to
identify inconsistencies in the Report's proposals and to provide some
tentative solutions.
Bofinger argues that the lack of a comprehensive conceptual framework
for the coordination of national monetary policies increases the
difficulties faced by the Committee of Governors in establishing the
ESCB's commitment to the maintenance of price stability, in avoiding
conflicts between this direct coordination mechanism and the indirect
coordination mechanism effected by the EMS, and in safeguarding the
stability of the EMS following the complete abolition of intra-EC
capital controls and the entry of sterling.
Bofinger argues that the intermediate, transitional `Stage II' of the
Delors Report is not necessary for the achievement of a decentralized
ESCB of the type advocated by Delors for Stage III. In addition, there
are a number of drawbacks associated with the proposals for a limited
`sharing of responsibilities' in the field of monetary policy
(adjustments of short-term interest rate differentials, intervention
policies vis-à-vis third countries, common European reserve
requirements). The responsibilities of the ESCB in each of these areas
would undermine considerably the autonomy of national central banks, and
a European minimum reserve policy would have the specific disadvantage
of being both less strict and more complicated than the coordination
procedure already envisaged for Stage I.
Bofinger proposes an alternative approach, in which Stages I and II are
merged by increasing the responsibilities of the Committee of Governors
and granting an autonomous status to the Governors of all national
central banks.
Bofinger also discusses the possibility that the final stage of EMU as
proposed by Delors may be incompatible with the international monetary
order and proposes a novel incentive for the members of the ESCB council
to follow a policy of price-level stability: their salaries should be
fixed in nominal terms over the whole duration of a term of office.
Unresolved Issues on the Road to Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in
Europe
Peter Bofinger
Discussion Paper No. 405, March 1990 (IM)
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