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Growth
Theory
A case for equality
Economic growth
varies substantially across countries and time periods, and it is
largely determined by the accumulation of physical and human capital and
potentially productive knowledge. Individuals' incentives for productive
accumulation depend on their abilities privately to appropriate the
fruits of their efforts, so inequality of income distribution is
detrimental to growth if distributional conflict gives rise to tax and
regulatory policies that reduce the scope for private appropriation.
While the recent literature on endogenous growth has emphasized the
importance of policy but neglected its linkages with distribution and
politics, the corresponding literature on the theory of endogenous
policy has emphasized the importance of distribution but neglected its
effects on growth.
In Discussion Paper No. 581, Research Fellows Torsten Persson and
Guido Tabellini combine insights from both strands in the
literature to formulate a two-period, overlapping generations model in
which policy is purely redistributive. The older generation accumulates
a stock of capital that has a positive externality on the income of the
new-born generation. This may be interpreted as physical or human
capital that has a `knowledge spillover' on the basic skills of the
young or more usefully as a measure of knowledge that promotes technical
progress. In this case owners of `capital' earn monopoly rents from
their earlier investment in knowledge accumulation, while the policy
variable represents regulatory policies: it is an index of individuals'
ability privately to appropriate these returns.
Persson and Tabellini define a `politico-economic equilibrium' as a
policy that cannot be defeated in a majority vote of all enfranchised
citizens and a set of their optimal private economic decisions such that
markets can clear. Voters face a trade-off: an increase in the policy
variable redistributes income and welfare but diminishes investment and
hence the base for redistribution. A median voter who also happens to be
an average investor will prefer a non-redistributive policy, while a
median voter who is poorer (richer) than average will prefer a tax
(subsidy) on investment. For a given country, this theory predicts that
a more equal distribution or a higher average level of basic skills will
increase growth, as will greater political participation by the rich or
reduced political participation by the poor.
Persson and Tabellini then test these predictions empirically on
historical data dating back to the midnineteenth century from the US and
eight European countries and on post-war data from a broad cross-section
of developed and less developed countries. They find a strong negative
relation between initial income inequality and subsequent growth; but
for the broader sample it is present only for democratic countries as
the theory predicts.
Is
Inequality Harmful for Growth? Theory and Evidence
Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini
Discussion Paper No. 581, October 1991 (IM)
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