Parties engaged in bargaining processes often comprise several
sub-parties whose preferences are not in complete agreement. For
example, the prolonged Uruguay Round of GATT negotiations appears to
centre around the confrontation between the US and the European
Community over agricultural policy. Much of the difficulty arises from
the Community's need to agree first its common negotiating position
through a process that is not always cooperative; by the time this
compromise is reached, its negotiators at the GATT have much less room
for manoeuvre than their US counterparts.
In Discussion Paper No. 685, Executive Committee Member Giorgio
Basevi, Research Fellow Flavio Delbono and Marco Mariotti
argue that a negotiating party may benefit if its opposition arrives at
the negotiations with a proposal reached cooperatively rather than
non-cooperatively. They develop a model of the simplest such case, with
three agents, two of which constitute a party, which must agree the
value of a variable as follows. A (France) and B (Germany), as members
of the union, present C (the US) with a proposal, which it then decides
whether to accept. A and C have opposite preferences about the possible
outcomes, but A and B differ in that A has a direct interest in the
specific outcome, while B is only interested in whether there is an
agreement or not. B prefers C to accept rather than reject their
proposed value but is indifferent between all values if C accepts.
This model captures the common case where a union bargains with an
outside party over issues that are of direct concern to only some of its
members, while its other members remain concerned that the bargaining
process does not break down. For example, Germany has much less interest
than France in the outcome of agricultural negotiations but may fear
that their breakdown could lead to US restrictions on its exports of
manufactured products. Basevi, Delbono and Mariotti conclude that an
agent waiting for a proposal from a union of several members, some of
whose interests oppose its own, will benefit if at least one member is
primarily concerned that an agreement is struck rather than with its
terms, and if this member believes the outside agent to be sensitive to
changes in the union's proposal. The outside agent need not gain from
competition within the union, however, which may make a more `favourable'
proposal if there is a `friendly' atmosphere within the union.
They attribute the difficulties of reaching an acceptable resolution of
the Uruguay Round to the non-cooperative character of the intra-EC
negotiations on agricultural policies. Many factors, including possible
enlargement and the shift of leadership from France to Germany, appear
to make the EC internally less cooperative than previously, which seems
paradoxical given the current process towards deeper economic and
monetary integration.
Bargaining with a Composite Player: An Application to the Uruguay
Round of GATT Negotiations
Giorgio Basevi, Flavio Delbono and Marco Mariotti
Discussion Paper No. 685, July 1992 (IT)